Saturday, January 13, 2007

Why Clinton Has a Better Chance Than Obama

Both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are on the verge of declaring their 2008 presidential candidacies. The possibility of both running leads me to the question, "Who has a better chance of being elected President in America, a Black man or a White women?" In my mind, the answer is clear: a White woman.

While it's politically correct to publicly declare race and gender agnosticism, the evidence against such neutrality is damning. Despite accounting for 12.8% of the population, African Americans are woefully underrepresented in Congress: 1 Black Senator and 42 Representatives. Let's not forget the 0 Black Republicans in Congress.

Women in the 110th Congress fair somewhat better: 16 Senators and 74 Representatives. However, considering that women comprise 51% of the US population, this is pathetic.

Nevertheless, there is a 16:1 ratio of Female (White) Senators to Black Senators. Since I am a gambling man, I would bet heavily that Clinton receives more votes than Obama in the primaries.

Sorry, Barack. While Americans claim to be race neutral, their preferences are quite clear.

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